Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.000111 0.000122 0.000134 0.000147 0.000162 0.000178 0.000197
2025-12-14 0.000087 0.000103 0.000121 0.000143 0.000170 0.000202 0.000242
2025-12-21 0.000072 0.000089 0.000110 0.000138 0.000173 0.000217 0.000278
2025-12-28 0.000064 0.000082 0.000106 0.000138 0.000182 0.000240 0.000324
2026-01-04 0.000057 0.000077 0.000102 0.000139 0.000191 0.000263 0.000371
2026-01-11 0.000052 0.000071 0.000098 0.000137 0.000195 0.000279 0.000411
2026-01-18 0.000048 0.000067 0.000095 0.000138 0.000203 0.000300 0.000460
2026-01-25 0.000044 0.000063 0.000091 0.000136 0.000206 0.000314 0.000500
2026-02-01 0.000040 0.000060 0.000089 0.000136 0.000211 0.000333 0.000548
2026-02-08 0.000037 0.000056 0.000085 0.000133 0.000213 0.000345 0.000586
2026-02-15 0.000034 0.000053 0.000082 0.000130 0.000214 0.000355 0.000623
2026-02-22 0.000033 0.000051 0.000080 0.000131 0.000221 0.000377 0.000683
2026-03-01 0.000031 0.000050 0.000080 0.000133 0.000230 0.000405 0.000759
2026-03-08 0.000029 0.000047 0.000076 0.000131 0.000231 0.000418 0.000809
2026-03-15 0.000026 0.000043 0.000072 0.000126 0.000228 0.000422 0.000842
2026-03-22 0.000025 0.000042 0.000071 0.000127 0.000235 0.000446 0.000919
2026-03-29 0.000024 0.000041 0.000070 0.000127 0.000242 0.000472 0.001005
2026-04-05 0.000022 0.000039 0.000068 0.000126 0.000244 0.000487 0.001069
2026-04-12 0.000021 0.000037 0.000067 0.000126 0.000250 0.000513 0.001161
2026-04-19 0.000020 0.000036 0.000065 0.000124 0.000252 0.000528 0.001228
2026-04-26 0.000019 0.000035 0.000063 0.000124 0.000256 0.000550 0.001318
2026-05-03 0.000018 0.000033 0.000061 0.000122 0.000256 0.000562 0.001384
2026-05-10 0.000017 0.000031 0.000059 0.000119 0.000256 0.000572 0.001445